{"id":144988,"date":"2020-12-06T11:15:57","date_gmt":"2020-12-06T09:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/osr.org\/?p=144988"},"modified":"2020-12-06T11:24:00","modified_gmt":"2020-12-06T09:24:00","slug":"yabanci-yasami-2036da-bulacagiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/osr.org\/tr\/blog\/astronomi\/yabanci-yasami-2036da-bulacagiz\/","title":{"rendered":"Yabanc\u0131 Ya\u015fam\u0131 2036\u2019da Bulaca\u011f\u0131z"},"content":{"rendered":"
NASA, uzayl\u0131lar hakk\u0131nda t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyaya heyecan vermeyi seven bir kurum ve ABD, bilim kurgu sinemas\u0131, edebiyat\u0131 ve oyunlar\u0131 sayesinde bu i\u015fin ekme\u011fini \u00e7ok fazla yedi. Hatta bu nedenle art\u0131k \u201cuzayl\u0131\u201d kelimesi ge\u00e7en bilimsel bir geli\u015fme bile eskisi kadar \u00e7ok ilgi uyand\u0131rm\u0131yor. Yine de bu konuda ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar y\u00fcr\u00fcten bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n ciddi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 var. <\/p>\n
NASA\u2019n\u0131n 1970\u2019li y\u0131llarda y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, d\u00fcnya d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fam\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma odakl\u0131 SETI projesinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan k\u0131demli astronom Serg Shoshak, aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n 2036 y\u0131l\u0131nda sonlanabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti. \u00dcstelik bu \u00f6yle geli\u015fi g\u00fczel bir tahmin de de\u011fil. Kendisine g\u00f6re SETI\u2019de g\u00f6zlemler i\u00e7in kulland\u0131klar\u0131 bilgisayarlar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, 2036\u2019da \u00e7ok daha fazla y\u0131ld\u0131z ve sistemi taramaya yetecek. <\/p>\n
BBC\u2019nin The Debrief isimli radyo program\u0131na kat\u0131lan Seth Shoshak, SETI\u2019de kulland\u0131klar\u0131 bilgisayarlar\u0131n her 2 y\u0131lda bir 2 kat daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hale geldi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131k ge\u00e7erlili\u011fi tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan Moore Yasas\u0131\u2019na dayand\u0131ran Shoshak, \u201c2036\u2019da bir \u015feyler bulaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131za dair herkesle bir Starbucks kahvesine iddiaya girerim\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda bulundu. <\/p>\n
Moore Yasas\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re bilgisayarlar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7leri yakla\u015f\u0131k her 2 y\u0131lda bir 2\u2019ye katlan\u0131r. Yani e\u011fer paran\u0131z\u0131 saklayacak olursan\u0131z, kur ve vergi de\u011fi\u015fimleri hari\u00e7, 2 y\u0131l sonra bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden 2 kat daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bilgisayar alabilirsiniz. Tabii ki bu a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n bilimsel bir taban\u0131 yok, ancak 1965\u2019te ortaya at\u0131l\u0131p kabul g\u00f6ren Moore Yasas\u0131 b\u00f6yle diyor. Yasan\u0131n ge\u00e7erlili\u011fi 2010\u2019lu y\u0131llardan itibaren tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bilgisayarlar\u0131n i\u015flemcilerinde 2 kat g\u00fc\u00e7lenme gibi bir durum s\u00f6z konusu olmuyor. <\/p>\n
G\u00f6zlemleri sadece insanlar\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair genel bir yan\u0131lg\u0131 oldu\u011fundan s\u00f6z eden Shoshak, bu durumu ayn\u0131 anda 1 milyar tane TV kanal\u0131n\u0131 izlemeye benzetiyor. Bir insan i\u00e7in imkans\u0131z olan bu senaryo, yeterince g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bilgisayarlar\u0131n alt\u0131ndan kalkabilece\u011fi bir durum. <\/p>\n
Shoshak\u2019a g\u00f6re SETI\u2019de g\u00f6zlemler i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan s\u00fcper bilgisayarlar, 2036\u2019da 1 milyon y\u0131ld\u0131z sistemini ayn\u0131 anda g\u00f6zlemlemeye yetecek. A\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na \u201c1 milyon y\u0131ld\u0131z, bir \u015feyler bulmam\u0131z i\u00e7in en do\u011fru say\u0131\u201d \u015feklinde devam eden Shoshak\u2019a g\u00f6re bu s\u0131rada ya\u015fama sahip pek \u00e7ok d\u0131\u015f gezegenin ke\u015ffi de m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacak.<\/p>\n